Superfly Blog

Insights Across Every Market.

Research and plain-English guides on macro, fixed income, commodities, CFDs, real estate and venture capital.

Equities

Aramco: Profit vs Payout. The Test for Q3 Results

Aramco reports Q3 results on 3 November. In Q2, free cash flow covered only 56% of a $21.9B dividend. The test, and what to watch.

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Macro

Central Bank Week: What the Fed, Bank of Canada and ECB Decide Next

The Fed, Bank of Canada and ECB all decide on rates between 27 and 29 October. What markets expect, the data that matters and why it reaches dollar-pegged borrowers.

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Fixed Income

Back Below 5%: Why Bonds Did Their Job When Tech Sold Off

The US 10-year yield fell back below 5% as tech stocks slid. What happened, and the role of high-quality bonds in a portfolio.

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Investor Education

One Day, Five Outcomes: A Real-World Lesson in Diversification

Tech stocks, blue chips, bonds, gold and Bitcoin all moved differently on 22 October. What one trading day teaches about diversification.

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Fixed Income

The 5% World: What Higher Bond Yields Mean For Every Investor

UK and French 10-year yields are near or above 5% too. When safe government debt pays this much, every other asset has to clear a higher bar, and income investors finally get paid to wait.

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Commodities

Oil Above $110: Who Wins And Who Pays

Supply risk in the Gulf pushed Brent higher. Revenue support for producers, a cost shock for importers, and wider swings for anyone holding energy.

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CFDs

CFDs Explained: Leverage Without The Guesswork

How contracts for difference work, why leverage cuts both ways, and how professional desks size positions before they trade.

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Real Estate

Judging A Property Deal On Yield And Exit

The numbers that matter in property markets worldwide: net rental yield, service charges, liquidity and how you get your money out.

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Venture Capital

Why Venture Capital Belongs In A Small Slice

Early-stage companies can return many times their cost, or nothing. Why a small, patient allocation is the disciplined way to own them.

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