Why Venture Capital Belongs In A Small Slice
Venture capital means investing in young, private companies in exchange for equity. A small number of these companies grow into giants. Most do not.
The power law
Venture returns are not spread evenly. In a typical portfolio, a handful of investments produce most of the gains, while many return little or nothing. One winner can return many times its cost and pay for every loss.
That is why investing in a single startup is closer to a lottery ticket than a portfolio. The odds only work across many companies.
Why the slice should be small
- Total loss is normal. Any single investment can go to zero.
- Money is locked up. It often takes seven to ten years for a company to be sold or list.
- Valuations are uncertain. There is no daily market price, so it is hard to know what a stake is worth.
How to own it with discipline
- Keep venture to a share of your portfolio you could leave untouched for a decade.
- Spread it across many companies, directly or through a fund.
- Invest steadily over several years rather than all at once.
- Focus on sectors you understand, and back founders, not headlines.
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